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Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Kremin Stadium, Kremenchuk
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Match Events

2' Event
Blyznyuk V.
27'
Dykhtyaruk O.
31'
Sabiev D.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2024/2025 game between Kremin and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kremin
30%
Draws
47%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kremin Clean Sheet 20%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremin MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Kremin
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:2
Jul 28, 2023 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Kremin
0:0
Nov 16, 2022 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kremin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Blyznyuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremin 32 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremin MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kremin's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kremin

(Home)
23 May
Kremin
0 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Minaj
3 : 0
Kremin
11 May
Kremin
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
03 May
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kremin
19 Apr
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Kremin
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MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Away)
27 Sept
Atlet Kiev
2 : 3
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
20 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1 : 2
Lozova
29 Aug
Rebel Kyiv
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
23 Aug
Olympia Savyntsi
2 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
15 Aug
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2 : 2
Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Epitsentr 14 8 5 1 21:7 29
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 14 9 1 4 16:13 28
3 Metalist Kharkiv 14 6 4 4 20:11 22
4 Bukovyna 14 5 5 4 11:11 20
5 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 Minaj 14 4 4 6 12:20 16
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 3 4 7 14:18 13
8 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 1 5 8 9:19 8
9 Khust 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kudrivka 16 9 4 3 22:12 31
2 FC Kharkiv 16 8 5 3 21:10 29
3 SC Poltava 16 8 5 3 24:14 29
4 UCSA 16 8 4 4 31:21 28
5 Victoria 16 6 5 5 23:12 23
6 Fenix Mariupol 16 5 3 8 17:23 18
7 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 16 4 5 7 15:22 17
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 16 3 4 9 12:28 13
9 Kremin 16 2 3 11 9:32 9
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)