Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Kremin Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kremin play MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya in the Persha Liga 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kremin averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya averaged 0.59 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Kremin won 0, MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 30, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Kremin and 0.74 for MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya. This points to a MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kremin
20%
Draws
47%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Kremin picked up more points recently compared to MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Kremin Clean Sheet 27%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremin MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:1
Aug 9, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Kremin
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:2
Jul 28, 2023 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Kremin
0:0
Nov 16, 2022 Persha Liga
Kremin vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kremin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Blyznyuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremin 35 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremin MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kremin attacking → ← attacking MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kremin scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kremin went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 27
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Epitsentr1485121:729
2Ahrobiznes Volochysk1491416:1328
3Metalist Kharkiv1464420:1122
4Bukovyna1455411:1120
5Nyva Ternopil1444613:1716
6Minaj1444612:2016
7Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)1434714:1813
8FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi141589:198
9Khust00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kudrivka1694322:1231
2FC Kharkiv1685321:1029
3SC Poltava1685324:1429
4UCSA1684431:2128
5Victoria1665523:1223
6Fenix Mariupol1653817:2318
7MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1645715:2217
8Dinaz Vyshgorod1634912:2813
9Kremin1623119:329