Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kremser vs A. Lustenau

Austria Austria

OFB Cup Stadion Krems, Krems
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the OFB Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Kremser at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; A. Lustenau at 1.13 for, 0.88 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Kremser. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kremser
44%
Draws
20%
A. Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Kremser haven't matched A. Lustenau's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • A. Lustenau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kremser Clean Sheet 17%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kremser A. Lustenau
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kremser 36 / 100
A. Lustenau 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kremser A. Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kremser scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

A. Lustenau let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Kremser remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

A. Lustenau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kremser VS A. Lustenau
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kremser

(Home)
17 Jul
Kremser
0 : 2
Amstetten
03 Jul
Kremser
0 : 2
First Vienna
05 Jun
SV Oberwart
5 : 2
Kremser
29 May
Kremser
5 : 1
SV Donau
22 May
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2 : 1
Kremser
Page 1 of 6

A. Lustenau

(Away)
16 Jul
Nurnberg II
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
15 Jul
SW Bregenz
1 : 1
A. Lustenau
10 Jul
A. Lustenau
1 : 0
Aarau
04 Jul
Vaduz
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
01 Jul
A. Lustenau
0 : 0
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Atus Velden-
A. Klagenfurt-
Traiskirchen-
Bleiburg-
Lafnitz-
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth-
Wiener Viktoria-
Parndorf-
FC Lustenau-
Kitzbuhel-
Schwaz-
Wallern/St Marienkirchen-
Dietach-
Bischofshofen-
Vorwarts Steyr-
Kuchl-
Treibach-
Kapfenberg-
Tillmitsch-
St. Polten-
Deutschlandsberger Wonisch-
Amstetten-
Leoben-
ASK Voitsberg-
SV Leithaprodersdorf-
Admira-
Horn-
Floridsdorfer AC Wien-
Mattersburg SV 2020-
First Vienna-
Reichenau-
Wacker Innsbruck-
Union Gurten-
BW Linz-
Bad Leonfelden-
SW Bregenz-
Wals-Grunau-
A. Salzburg-
Hohenems-
Hogo Hertha Wels-
Wieselburg-
Tirol-
Kremser-
A. Lustenau-
Dornbirn-
Ried-
Leobendorf-
Altach-
SV Oberwart-
Salzburg-
SC Imst-
Hartberg-
Seekirchen-
Sturm Graz-
Donaufeld Wien-
Grazer AK-
Lauterach-
Wolfsberger AC-
Wiener-
Austria Vienna-
Wienerberger-
Rapid Vienna-
SC Kalsdorf-
LASK Linz-
1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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