Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Johannsson A.
113'
113'
Arsaelsson M.
120'
120'
Konradsson D.
AI Match Summary
Alftanes in this Icelandic Cup 2015 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alftanes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alftanes lately — more wins on the board than Kria.
- Alftanes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Alftanes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Alftanes, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kria Clean Sheet 10%
Alftanes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kria | Alftanes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.16 | 2.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.56 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Alftanes vs Kria
5:2
May 19, 2015 Icelandic Cup
Kria vs Alftanes
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kria Compare
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78
Alftanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Arsaelsson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kria 10 / 100
Alftanes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kria Alftanes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alftanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Kria found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (19 games).
Alftanes let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Kria went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kria VS Alftanes
3.13 Goals Scored 1.63
4.13 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kria
(Home) 17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
06 Apr
Leiknir Reykjavik
5 : 0 Kria
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2 Kria
04 Apr
Kria
1 : 2 Ulfarnir
11 Apr
Kria
0 : 10 Fjolnir
Page 1 of 4
04 Apr
Kria
1 : 2 Ulfarnir
11 Apr
Kria
0 : 10 Fjolnir
09 Apr
Kria
5 : 8 IBU
24 Apr
Kria
13 : 1 Afrika Reykjavik
06 Jun
Kria
2 : 3 Hamar
Page 1 of 3
Alftanes
(Away) 04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5 Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0 Alftanes
30 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 1 Kari
17 Mar
Alftanes
5 : 2 Kria
16 Jul
Alftanes
4 : 7 Ymir
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
1 : 5 Alftanes
06 Apr
Grotta
1 : 0 Alftanes
01 Apr
Augnablik
7 : 1 Alftanes
31 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1 Alftanes
21 Apr
Kordrengir
5 : 0 Alftanes
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Nokkvi 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Kria 2
Vidir 1
KFS 0
Alftanes 2
KFG Gardabaer 5
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Kongarnir 0
Arborg 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
Haukar -
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri 4
Einherji 2
Hrafnkell Fr. 0
Hottur 16
Vatnaliljur 4
Midas 3
Armann 2
Berserkir 4
Skinandi 6
KFR 2
TBD -
Afturelding -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Huginn 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Hamar 0
Kari 7
Selfoss -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Reynir 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Grotta -
Aegir 6
Stal-Ulfur 2
SR Reykjavik 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
KB Breidholt 2
Throttur Vogar 4
Magni 4
Hamrarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 0
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Snaefell 1
KH Hlidarendi 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Augnablik 7
Hviti 2
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Njardvik 8
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur -
TBD -
Gnupverjar 1
Vaengirs 3
Skallagrimur 11
Stokkseyri 0
TBD -
Bolungarvik -
Lettir 4
Ellidi 0
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
KA Akureyri 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Kria 0
Alftanes 1
KFG Gardabaer 2
Arborg 1
TBD -
Breidablik -
Olafsvik 2
Haukar 1
Tindastoll 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur 1
Vatnaliljur 2
Berserkir 1
Skinandi 0
Afturelding 2
Fjardabyggd 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Orninn 2
Kari 4
Selfoss 2
Reynir 0
TBD -
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fram 2
Grotta 0
Aegir 0
KV Reykjavik 3
Grindavik 1
Throttur Vogar 0
Magni 1
Volsungur 2
Kopavogur 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fylkir -
TBD -
Augnablik 1
Njardvik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Stjarnan -
Throttur 3
Vaengirs 0
Skallagrimur 0
Bolungarvik 6
Lettir 1
IR Reykjavik 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Alftanes 0
KFG Gardabaer 1
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 3
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 0
Fjolnir 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hottur 0
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 3
Fjardabyggd 4
Kari 0
Selfoss 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 5
Keflavik 0
Fram 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 4
Volsungur 3
Kopavogur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Njardvik 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Throttur 4
Bolungarvik 1
Lettir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Breidablik 0
Olafsvik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 0
Fjardabyggd 0
Valur 4
KR Reykjavik 7
KV Reykjavik 1
Grindavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Fylkir 3
Stjarnan 0
Throttur 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Fjolnir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fylkir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Final
Valur 2
KR Reykjavik 0
