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Krieschow vs Arnstadt Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zurawsky M.
34' Event
Stanese D.
46' Event
Fuchs J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 game between Krieschow and Arnstadt finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krieschow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Krieschow
15%
Draws
36%
Arnstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krieschow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Krieschow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Arnstadt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Krieschow have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Krieschow Clean Sheet 14%
Arnstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krieschow Arnstadt
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Arnstadt
3:1
Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Krieschow
0:1
May 29, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Krieschow vs Arnstadt
2:2
Oct 16, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Arnstadt vs Krieschow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krieschow Compare

Top Goalscorer Zurawsky M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanese D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Arnstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krieschow 27 / 100
Arnstadt 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krieschow Arnstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arnstadt conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Krieschow found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Arnstadt registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Krieschow VS Arnstadt
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Krieschow

(Home)
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
19 Sept
Plauen
1 : 2
Krieschow
12 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 5
Halle
29 Aug
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Krieschow
23 Aug
Krieschow
0 : 9
Mainz
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Arnstadt

(Away)
15 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
4 : 2
Arnstadt
09 Jul
Arnstadt
1 : 6
Einheit Rudolstadt
08 Jun
Arnstadt
0 : 6
Bischofswerdaer
02 Jun
Krieschow
3 : 1
Arnstadt
18 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 2
Arnstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
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