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Stadium Background

Kristianstad vs AFC Malmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Kristianstads Fotbollsarena, Kristianstad
Kristianstad Logo

Kristianstad

0 - 1
FT
AFC Malmo Logo

AFC Malmo

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Harletun K.
63'
Sub
Harletun K. In: Kohler N.
Out: Harletun K.
67'
Sub
Nennesson K. In: Kamp A.
Out: Nennesson K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kristianstad
20%
Draws
47%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Malmo average 1.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Kristianstad's 1.38.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kristianstad Clean Sheet 16%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kristianstad AFC Malmo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Kristianstad vs AFC Malmo
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Kristianstad
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
AFC Malmo vs Kristianstad
2:2
May 29, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Kristianstad vs AFC Malmo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kristianstad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Harletun K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kristianstad 31 / 100
AFC Malmo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kristianstad AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Kristianstad found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kristianstad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kristianstad VS AFC Malmo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kristianstad

(Home)
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
20 Sept
Laholms
2 : 3
Kristianstad
17 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 1
Olympic
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
Page 1 of 7

AFC Malmo

(Away)
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)