Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krk vs Bjelovar

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Stojanovic N.
41' Event
Jurica T.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2023/2024 game between Krk and Bjelovar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Krk
15%
Draws
76%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Bjelovar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bjelovar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Krk Clean Sheet 20%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krk Bjelovar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Druga NL
Krk vs Bjelovar
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Krk
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krk Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurica T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krk 20 / 100
Bjelovar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krk Bjelovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krk's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bjelovar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Krk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bjelovar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krk

(Home)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 6

Bjelovar

(Away)
19 Sept
Uskok Klis
2 : 3
Bjelovar
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)