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Krk vs Cres

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Krk Logo

Krk

4 - 1
FT
Cres Logo

Cres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Krk in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Krk
20%
Draws
70%
Cres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Krk have won more games recently than Cres.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Cres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Krk here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Krk Clean Sheet 20%
Cres Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krk Cres
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL West
Cres vs Krk
2:3
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Cres
4:1
May 15, 2021 3. HNL West
Krk vs Cres
4:1
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Krk
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krk 10 / 100
Cres 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krk Cres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Krk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Cres conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Krk remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Krk VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Krk

(Home)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 9

Cres

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)