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Krk vs Kustosija

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Krk Logo

Krk

0 - 2
FT
Kustosija Logo

Kustosija

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Guja M.
66' Event
Petkovic F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2023/2024 game between Krk and Kustosija finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kustosija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Krk
20%
Draws
64%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kustosija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kustosija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Krk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Krk Clean Sheet 12%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krk Kustosija
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Druga NL
Krk vs Kustosija
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Krk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Kustosija Compare

Top Goalscorer Guja M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petkovic F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krk 35 / 100
Kustosija 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krk Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Krk scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kustosija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kustosija has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kustosija
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Krk

(Home)
01 Jun
Krk
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
25 May
Trnje
2 : 1
Krk
18 May
Krk
0 : 1
Mladost Zdralovi
11 May
Radnik Krizevci
2 : 1
Krk
04 May
Krk
2 : 2
Dragovoljac
Page 1 of 6

Kustosija

(Away)
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
20 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 0
Croatia Zmijavci
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)