Sport Picks

Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stadion Matije Gubca

Grosuplje

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Krsko Posavje play Grosuplje in the 2. SNL 2025/2026. Grosuplje are favorites here. Recently, Krsko Posavje averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Grosuplje averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Krsko Posavje won 0, Grosuplje won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.78 for Krsko Posavje and 2.35 for Grosuplje. This points to a Grosuplje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Krsko Posavje

23%

Draws

57%

Grosuplje

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Grosuplje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Krsko Posavje picked up more points recently compared to Grosuplje.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.78 vs 2.35 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Krsko Posavje Clean Sheet 10%

Grosuplje Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Krsko Posavje	Grosuplje
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	17
Draws	5	4
Losses	19	8
Goals Scored	0.7	1.66
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.33	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 2. SNL

Krsko Posavje vs Grosuplje

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Oct 4, 2025 2. SNL

Grosuplje vs Krsko Posavje

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

5:0

Nov 30, 2022 2. SNL

Krsko Posavje vs Grosuplje

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Aug 7, 2022 2. SNL

Grosuplje vs Krsko Posavje

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Jul 18, 2020 Club Friendly

Grosuplje vs Krsko Posavje

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krsko Posavje Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirc N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.52

Avg xA / game 0.34

Grosuplje Compare

Top Goalscorer Hojc V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Benkic K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krsko Posavje 20 / 100

Grosuplje 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Krsko Posavje Grosuplje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosuplje Win (2)

Secondary Pick Grosuplje & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krsko Posavje attacking → ← attacking Grosuplje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krsko Posavje scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Grosuplje let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Krsko Posavje went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Grosuplje lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 55

0.67 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosuplje	30	23	6	1	70:26	75
2	Nafta	30	23	6	1	65:23	75
3	Triglav	30	20	4	6	72:28	64
4	Beltinci	30	18	6	6	55:25	60
5	Tabor Sezana	30	15	5	10	37:33	50
6	Bistrica	30	13	6	11	50:36	45
7	Dravinja	30	10	7	13	32:44	37
8	Rudar	30	9	10	11	46:39	37
9	Bilje	30	9	7	14	27:47	34
10	Jadran Dekani	30	8	9	13	40:46	33
11	Slovan Ljubljana	30	9	5	16	32:52	32
12	NK Krka	30	6	11	13	32:51	29
13	Ilirija	30	6	9	15	38:52	27
14	Krsko Posavje	30	7	5	18	24:62	26
15	ND Gorica	30	4	10	16	31:45	22
16	Jesenice	30	4	6	20	26:68	18