Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2021

FK Lida

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Krumkachy play FK Lida in the Pershaya Liga 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krumkachy averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. FK Lida averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Krumkachy won 2, FK Lida won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 3, 2021 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Krumkachy and 1.19 for FK Lida. This points to a Krumkachy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Krumkachy

24%

Draws

35%

FK Lida

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Krumkachy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Krumkachy picked up more points recently compared to FK Lida.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Krumkachy Clean Sheet 20%

FK Lida Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Krumkachy	FK Lida
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.77	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.27	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	4.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Pershaya Liga

Krumkachy vs FK Lida

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Jul 17, 2021 Pershaya Liga

FK Lida vs Krumkachy

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Apr 30, 2021 Pershaya Liga

Krumkachy vs FK Lida

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Oct 25, 2020 Pershaya Liga

FK Lida vs Krumkachy

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Jun 28, 2020 Pershaya Liga

Krumkachy vs FK Lida

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krumkachy Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechishko P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Yaskovich D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.08

Avg xA / game 2

FK Lida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumkachy 41 / 100

FK Lida 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Krumkachy FK Lida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krumkachy or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krumkachy attacking → ← attacking FK Lida

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumkachy scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

FK Lida let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Krumkachy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Lida lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 46

4.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	33	20	8	5	59:22	68
2	Belshina	33	19	6	8	69:42	63
3	Krumkachy	33	17	9	7	58:31	60
4	Volna Pinsk	33	16	8	9	49:39	56
5	Dnepr Mogilev	33	15	10	8	58:38	55
6	Lokomotiv Gomel	33	15	9	9	56:39	54
7	Petrikov	33	13	7	13	50:56	46
8	Naftan	33	11	11	11	44:46	44
9	Orsha	33	9	7	17	41:60	34
10	FK Baranovici	33	7	7	19	38:72	28
11	FK Lida	33	4	9	20	33:75	21
12	FC Slonim	33	3	7	23	27:62	16