Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krumkachy vs Naftan

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026 SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Sat, Jul 12, 2025
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dalidovich V.
30'
Protasov Y.
33'
Susha A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Naftan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krumkachy
15%
Draws
34%
Naftan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumkachy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Krumkachy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Krumkachy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Krumkachy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Naftan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Krumkachy Clean Sheet 10%
Naftan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krumkachy Naftan
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Krumkachy vs Naftan
1:2
Oct 24, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Krumkachy
0:0
Aug 7, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Krumkachy vs Naftan
1:0
May 15, 2021 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Krumkachy
1:2
Sep 20, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Naftan vs Krumkachy
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krumkachy Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalidovich V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Naftan Compare

Top Goalscorer Grudko I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krumkachy 83 / 100
Naftan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krumkachy Naftan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumkachy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krumkachy scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Naftan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Naftan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Krumkachy VS Naftan
2 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Krumkachy

(Home)
19 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 5
Dynamo Brest
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
1 : 4
Krumkachy
12 Jul
Krumkachy
1 : 2
Naftan
22 May
Bobovnya
1 : 2
Krumkachy
14 Jul
Krumkachy
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

Naftan

(Away)
19 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
0 : 1
Naftan
13 Sept
BATE
2 : 2
Naftan
06 Sept
Naftan
0 : 3
FC Minsk
02 Sept
Din. Minsk
5 : 1
Naftan
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2