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Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kruoja play FK Klaipeda in the A Lyga 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kruoja averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. FK Klaipeda averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Kruoja won 3, FK Klaipeda won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 30, 2011 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Kruoja and 1.75 for FK Klaipeda. This points to a Kruoja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Kruoja
22%
Draws
24%
FK Klaipeda
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kruoja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Kruoja picked up more points recently compared to FK Klaipeda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 12%
FK Klaipeda Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kruoja FK Klaipeda
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 23 25
Goals Scored 0.67 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2011 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda
6:0
Aug 13, 2011 TOPLYGA
FK Klaipeda vs Kruoja
1:2
May 18, 2011 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda
2:0
Oct 17, 2010 TOPLYGA
FK Klaipeda vs Kruoja
1:1
Sep 15, 2010 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs FK Klaipeda
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kruoja 51 / 100
FK Klaipeda 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kruoja FK Klaipeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kruoja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kruoja & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kruoja attacking → ← attacking FK Klaipeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kruoja scored in 36% of their last 33 games.

FK Klaipeda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kruoja went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Klaipeda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 9
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ekranas33248168:1480
2Zalgiris33226556:1772
3Suduva33198670:1965
4Siauliai331611645:3059
5Kruoja3313101043:3449
6Banga331371351:3746
7Tauras Taurage3311121050:3845
8Dainava Alytus331361453:5445
9FK Atmosfera33991536:5436
10FBK Kaunas33881741:5326
11Atlantas33322828:12111
12FK Klaipeda33232819:899