Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 play Dynamo Barnaul in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. It looks like a close match. Recently, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Dynamo Barnaul averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 won 1, Dynamo Barnaul won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 and 1.25 for Dynamo Barnaul. This points to a Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
35%
Draws
30%
Dynamo Barnaul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 picked up more points recently compared to Dynamo Barnaul.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Dynamo Barnaul
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chalyi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bodrov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dynamo Barnaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 35 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Dynamo Barnaul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 attacking → ← attacking Dynamo Barnaul

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Dynamo Barnaul let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Barnaul lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 33
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00