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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Samara Arena, Samara
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Krylya Sovetov Samara at 1.46 goals for, 1.5 against; Baltika at 1.64 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Krylya Sovetov Samara have won 1 to Baltika's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Baltika to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30%
Draws
19%
Baltika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Baltika carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Baltika arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Baltika, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%
Baltika Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Baltika
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Russian Cup
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:1
Aug 8, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Baltika
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 95 / 100
Baltika 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Baltika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Baltika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Baltika
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Baltika

(Away)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)