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Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Samara Arena, Samara
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Krylya Sovetov Samara host Fakel Voronezh in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Fakel Voronezh have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Krylya Sovetov Samara have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Krylya Sovetov Samara slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.81, favoring Krylya Sovetov Samara. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30%
Draws
19%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Krylya Sovetov Samara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Krylya Sovetov Samara's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 20%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Krylya Sovetov Samara Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Aug 11, 2024 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Apr 25, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:1
Sep 2, 2023 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Fakel Voronezh
3:0
May 28, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Krylya Sovetov Samara 67 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Krylya Sovetov Samara Fakel Voronezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Fakel Voronezh has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Fakel Voronezh
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Home)
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)