Sport Picks
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Samara Arena, Samara 
Match Events
35'
35'
Sokol A.
46'
46'
Sub
Goglichidze L. In: Dyatlov I.
Out: Goglichidze L.
58'
58'
Sub
Makarov D. In: Oroz D.
Out: Makarov D.
AI Match Summary
Krylya Sovetov Samara in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Krylya Sovetov Samara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rodina Moscow have won more games recently than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
- Model gives Krylya Sovetov Samara a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 20%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Rodina Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Rodina Moscow
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Kramaric M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stolbov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Rodina Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Timoshenko I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krylya Sovetov Samara 85 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krylya Sovetov Samara Rodina Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.
Krylya Sovetov Samara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Rodina Moscow conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Rodina Moscow
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Home) 10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
19 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 3
Rodina Moscow
(Away) 11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0 Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
