Sport Picks
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Samara Arena, Samara 
Match Events
24'
24'
Maksimenko A.
26'
26'
Sub
Costa Martins J. M. In: Pomazun I.
Out: Costa Martins J. M.
55'
55'
Rahmanovic A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Krylya Sovetov Samara and Spartak Moscow finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Spartak Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Krylya Sovetov Samara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 18%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Spartak Moscow
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
3:2
May 1, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Spartak Moscow
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:1
Jul 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Kramaric M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Ugalde M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krylya Sovetov Samara 40 / 100
Spartak Moscow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krylya Sovetov Samara Spartak Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Krylya Sovetov Samara remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Krylya Sovetov Samara scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Spartak Moscow conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Krylya Sovetov Samara VS Spartak Moscow
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Home) 10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
19 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 4
Spartak Moscow
(Away) 10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
19 Aug
Rubin Kazan
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
16 Aug
Baltika
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
02 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
