Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Karpaty Krosno vs Avia Swidnik

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Bialek W.
43' Event
Demyanenko D.
48' Event
Uliczny P.

AI Match Summary

Avia Swidnik in this III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Avia Swidnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KS Karpaty Krosno
11%
Draws
9%
Avia Swidnik
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avia Swidnik lately — more wins on the board than KS Karpaty Krosno.
  • Win probability leans KS Karpaty Krosno's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 10%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Karpaty Krosno Avia Swidnik
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 27
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Avia Swidnik
2:3
Oct 7, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs KS Karpaty Krosno
0:1
Jun 16, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:1
Nov 17, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Avia Swidnik
1:1
Mar 25, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs KS Karpaty Krosno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Karpaty Krosno Compare

Top Goalscorer Demyanenko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sula D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Avia Swidnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bialek W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uliczny P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Karpaty Krosno 74 / 100
Avia Swidnik 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Karpaty Krosno Avia Swidnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avia Swidnik conceded in 69% of 39 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

KS Karpaty Krosno has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: KS Karpaty Krosno scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avia Swidnik
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KS Karpaty Krosno

(Home)
12 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
2 : 1
Tomasovia Tomaszow Lubelski
08 Feb
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
01 Feb
KS Karpaty Krosno
4 : 1
Igloopol Debica
08 Jun
KS Karpaty Krosno
0 : 1
Wisloka Debica
01 Jun
Unia Tarnow
1 : 4
KS Karpaty Krosno
Page 1 of 6

Avia Swidnik

(Away)
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4
Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3
Avia Swidnik
23 May
Avia Swidnik
4 : 0
Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)