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KS Karpaty Krosno vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KS Karpaty Krosno play Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in the III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024. Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski are favorites here. Recently, KS Karpaty Krosno averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, KS Karpaty Krosno won 1, Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for KS Karpaty Krosno and 1.24 for Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski. This points to a Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KS Karpaty Krosno
11%
Draws
9%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to KS Karpaty Krosno.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for KS Karpaty Krosno.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 19%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Karpaty Krosno Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs KS Karpaty Krosno
5:1
Apr 18, 2018 III Liga - Group IV
KS Karpaty Krosno vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:2
Aug 11, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs KS Karpaty Krosno
0:0
Apr 1, 2017 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs KS Karpaty Krosno
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KS Karpaty Krosno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Bragiel D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Karpaty Krosno 76 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Karpaty Krosno Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Karpaty Krosno scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

KS Karpaty Krosno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523