Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018

Trzebinia Siersza

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KS Karpaty Krosno play Trzebinia Siersza in the III Liga - Group IV 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, KS Karpaty Krosno averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Trzebinia Siersza averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, KS Karpaty Krosno won 1, Trzebinia Siersza won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 5, 2018 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for KS Karpaty Krosno and 0.94 for Trzebinia Siersza. This points to a KS Karpaty Krosno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

KS Karpaty Krosno

31%

Draws

31%

Trzebinia Siersza

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: KS Karpaty Krosno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

KS Karpaty Krosno picked up more points recently compared to Trzebinia Siersza.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

KS Karpaty Krosno Clean Sheet 24%

Trzebinia Siersza Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KS Karpaty Krosno	Trzebinia Siersza
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	8	5
Draws	6	8
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.09	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 III Liga - Group IV

KS Karpaty Krosno vs Trzebinia Siersza

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Sep 29, 2017 III Liga - Group IV

Trzebinia Siersza vs KS Karpaty Krosno

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Mar 11, 2017 III Liga - Group IV

Trzebinia Siersza vs KS Karpaty Krosno

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Aug 13, 2016 III Liga - Group IV

KS Karpaty Krosno vs Trzebinia Siersza

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Karpaty Krosno 39 / 100

Trzebinia Siersza 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KS Karpaty Krosno Trzebinia Siersza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KS Karpaty Krosno or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KS Karpaty Krosno attacking → ← attacking Trzebinia Siersza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Karpaty Krosno scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Trzebinia Siersza let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

KS Karpaty Krosno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trzebinia Siersza lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 23

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	R. Rzeszow	34	23	8	3	61:22	77
2	Motor Lublin	34	22	5	7	70:29	71
3	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	18	10	6	50:31	64
4	Chelmianka Chelm	34	18	8	8	56:29	62
5	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	16	8	10	59:43	56
6	S. Rzeszow	34	16	7	11	56:40	55
7	Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska	34	16	7	11	56:42	55
8	Wislanie Skawina	34	13	9	12	52:56	48
9	Orleta Radzyn	34	12	10	12	45:47	46
10	Avia Swidnik	34	10	11	13	55:49	41
11	Sola Oswiecim	34	10	7	17	39:59	37
12	Spartakus Daleszyce	34	10	6	18	39:55	36
13	Biala Podlaska	34	7	15	12	40:52	36
14	Sandomierz	34	10	6	18	30:46	36
15	Jaroslaw	34	10	5	19	39:64	35
16	Unia Tarnow	34	9	8	17	48:70	35
17	Trzebinia Siersza	34	6	9	19	35:63	27
18	KS Karpaty Krosno	34	6	9	19	27:60	27