Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Chwaszczyno

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018
Sat, Aug 26, 2017
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KS Wierzyca Pelplin host Chwaszczyno in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. This has Chwaszczyno written all over it on paper. Chwaszczyno have shipped 9 goals a game lately, while KS Wierzyca Pelplin have conceded 1.88 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Chwaszczyno slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2017, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 2.44, favoring Chwaszczyno. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
39%
Draws
31%
Chwaszczyno
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • KS Wierzyca Pelplin haven't matched Chwaszczyno's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 10%
Chwaszczyno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KS Wierzyca Pelplin Chwaszczyno
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 23 4
Goals Scored 0.75 3
Goals Conceded 1.88 9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 9.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2017 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Chwaszczyno
0:0
Apr 9, 2016 III Liga - Group I
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Chwaszczyno
1:1
Sep 19, 2015 III Liga - Group I
Chwaszczyno vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KS Wierzyca Pelplin 29 / 100
Chwaszczyno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Chwaszczyno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KS Wierzyca Pelplin scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Chwaszczyno let in goals in 69% of their last 13 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: KS Wierzyca Pelplin remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KS Wierzyca Pelplin VS Chwaszczyno
0.75 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 9
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Elana Torun34245571:2477
2Swit Szczecin34234770:2773
3B. Gdynia34223974:3669
4Lech Poznan II34206869:3466
5KKS Kalisz34196952:3363
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34179863:4160
7Kleczew34178952:3259
8Kotwica Kolobrzeg341761148:3757
9Starogard Gdanski341561346:3251
10Pogon Szczecin II341471344:5449
11Jarocin341191445:5042
12KS Wierzyca Pelplin341261638:4742
13Wda Swiecie341051952:7235
14Gornik Konin34971840:6134
15Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski34952038:6732
16Przodkowo34742338:7525
17Unia Solec Kujawski34472333:8019
18Gryfino3425279:8011