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Ksar vs Chemal

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Ksar Logo

Ksar

1 - 0
FT
Chemal Logo

Chemal

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Dieng P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ksar in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ksar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ksar
15%
Draws
65%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Chemal have won more games recently than Ksar.
  • Win probability leans Chemal's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ksar Clean Sheet 17%
Chemal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Chemal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Chemal
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
0:0
Sep 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Chemal
1:2
Apr 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Ksar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chemal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 20 / 100
Chemal 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemal let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Ksar found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Ksar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Chemal
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)