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Stadium Background

Ksar vs Police

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Ksar Logo

Ksar

1 - 1
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
El Hassen M.
90' Event
Bagayoko M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Ksar and Police finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ksar
15%
Draws
21%
Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ksar have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Police are scoring more at 0.97.
  • Ksar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ksar Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksar Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Police
1:1
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs Ksar
3:0
Mar 12, 2023 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Police
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Ksar
2:1
Apr 8, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Ksar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hassen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagayoko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksar 40 / 100
Police 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksar Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ksar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Police registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ksar found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ksar VS Police
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksar

(Home)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)