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KSK Beveren vs Lierse SK

Belgium Belgium

EXQI League 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KSK Beveren play Lierse SK in the EXQI League 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, KSK Beveren averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Lierse SK averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, KSK Beveren won 0, Lierse SK won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 26, 2010 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for KSK Beveren and 4.00 for Lierse SK. This points to a Lierse SK double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
KSK Beveren
25%
Draws
40%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lierse SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • KSK Beveren picked up more points recently compared to Lierse SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
KSK Beveren Clean Sheet 10%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KSK Beveren Lierse SK
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2010 Challenger Pro League
KSK Beveren vs Lierse SK
0:0
Oct 9, 2009 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs KSK Beveren
6:0
Apr 10, 2009 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs KSK Beveren
3:2
Nov 29, 2008 Challenger Pro League
KSK Beveren vs Lierse SK
3:3
Apr 5, 2008 Challenger Pro League
KSK Beveren vs Lierse SK
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KSK Beveren 34 / 100
Lierse SK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KSK Beveren Lierse SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lierse SK or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KSK Beveren attacking → ← attacking Lierse SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KSK Beveren scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Lierse SK let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

KSK Beveren went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lierse SK lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 40
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
7.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lierse SK362112375:3275
2Lommel SK362010655:2770
3Mons36199856:3266
4Eupen361612856:3760
5Francs Borains361314946:4353
6SK Beveren3613131046:4952
7Oostende361215949:4551
8Antwerp361017955:5347
9Leuven3611121350:6645
10St. Wetteren361281648:5944
11Tournai3611111450:5144
12Tienen3611101544:5843
13Dender3610131345:4943
14FC Brussel361191647:5342
15Tubize-Braine369151241:4142
16FC Turnhout3610111550:5741
17Ronse361091751:5739
18KSK Beveren368121637:5536
19RFC Liege36582323:6023