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Ksour Essef vs Kalaa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zouari S.
40' Event
Ibrahim N.
69' Event
Triki M.

AI Match Summary

Kalaa in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ksour Essef
15%
Draws
34%
Kalaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ksour Essef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ksour Essef have won more games recently than Kalaa.
  • Win probability leans Ksour Essef's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 16%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ksour Essef Kalaa
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Kalaa
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Ksour Essef
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ksour Essef Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kalaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouari S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Triki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ksour Essef 57 / 100
Kalaa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ksour Essef Kalaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ksour Essef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalaa let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ksour Essef's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kalaa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ksour Essef VS Kalaa
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ksour Essef

(Home)
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1
Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0
Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0
Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
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Kalaa

(Away)
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0
Kalaa
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2
Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
Kalaa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)