Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Ben Turkia A. A.
32'
32'
Montassar H.
45'
45'
Jarou A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Ksour Essef and Moknine finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ksour Essef.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moknine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Ksour Essef carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ksour Essef Clean Sheet 16%
Moknine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ksour Essef | Moknine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Ksour Essef
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Ksour Essef vs Moknine
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ksour Essef Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Turkia A. A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Montassar H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Moknine Compare
Top Goalscorer Jarou A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ksour Essef 31 / 100
Moknine 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ksour Essef Moknine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Moknine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Ksour Essef found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Ksour Essef went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ksour Essef VS Moknine
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ksour Essef
(Home) 20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
12 May
Kasserine
1 : 0 Ksour Essef
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3 Stade Soussien
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
27 Feb
Ksour Essef
2 : 1 Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 3
Moknine
(Away) 12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
04 Apr
Djelma
1 : 1 Moknine
27 Feb
Kasserine
1 : 1 Moknine
31 Jan
Gafsa
3 : 0 Moknine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
