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KSV Roeselare vs KSK Beveren

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2009/2010
Wed, Oct 28, 2009
2 - 1
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KSV Roeselare play KSK Beveren in the Belgian Cup 2009/2010. KSV Roeselare are favorites here. Recently, KSV Roeselare averaged 0 goals scored and 5 conceded. KSK Beveren averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, KSV Roeselare won 3, KSK Beveren won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 28, 2009 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for KSV Roeselare and 0.80 for KSK Beveren. This points to a KSV Roeselare double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
KSV Roeselare
25%
Draws
15%
KSK Beveren
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: KSV Roeselare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • KSV Roeselare picked up more points recently compared to KSK Beveren.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 0.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
KSV Roeselare Clean Sheet 26%
KSK Beveren Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KSV Roeselare KSK Beveren
Matches Played 1 30
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 8
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 0 0.97
Goals Conceded 5 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2009 Belgian Cup
KSV Roeselare vs KSK Beveren
2:1
Apr 21, 2007 Jupiler Pro League
KSK Beveren vs KSV Roeselare
2:2
Nov 18, 2006 Jupiler Pro League
KSV Roeselare vs KSK Beveren
2:1
Jan 21, 2006 Jupiler Pro League
KSK Beveren vs KSV Roeselare
1:1
Aug 14, 2005 Jupiler Pro League
KSV Roeselare vs KSK Beveren
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KSV Roeselare 59 / 100
KSK Beveren 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KSV Roeselare KSK Beveren

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KSV Roeselare Win (1)
Secondary Pick KSV Roeselare & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KSV Roeselare attacking → ← attacking KSK Beveren

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KSV Roeselare scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

KSK Beveren let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

KSV Roeselare went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

KSK Beveren lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 7.00