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KTP vs Haka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
KTP Logo

KTP

2 - 1
FT
Haka Logo

Haka

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Adebayo A. In: Rangel
Out: Adebayo A.
20' Event
Rangel
44'
Paavola M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KTP in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
KTP
20%
Draws
34%
Haka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to KTP lately — more wins on the board than Haka.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on KTP taking it.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors KTP here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
Haka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP Haka
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Haka
2:1
Jun 27, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Haka vs KTP
0:2
Jun 8, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Haka
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Haka vs KTP
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Haka vs KTP
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Haka Compare

Top Goalscorer Auvinen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
Haka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP Haka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Haka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

KTP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS Haka
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
17 Oct
KTP
0 : 0
Klubi 04
11 Oct
SJK Akatemia
4 : 3
KTP
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
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Haka

(Away)
17 Oct
Jippo
2 : 1
Haka
09 Oct
Haka
3 : 0
PK-35
03 Oct
Ilves
3 : 0
Haka
25 Sept
KaPa
3 : 2
Haka
18 Sept
Haka
2 : 0
Klubi 04
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 27 18 5 4 48:26 59
2 PK-35 27 15 7 5 44:23 52
3 Haka 27 14 5 8 51:31 47
4 Jippo 27 13 8 6 38:22 47
5 JaPS 27 12 2 13 25:41 38
6 Ekenas IF 27 9 5 13 32:46 32
7 Mikkelin 27 8 6 13 29:38 30
8 Klubi 04 27 6 9 12 37:37 27
9 KaPa 27 6 7 14 33:49 25
10 SJK Akatemia 27 3 8 16 23:47 17
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)