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KTP vs KaPa

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Coker M.
44'
Lappalainen E.
45' Event
Rangel

AI Match Summary

The Ykkosliiga game between KTP and KaPa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
KTP
20%
Draws
9%
KaPa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP come out ahead of KaPa on wins alone.
  • Model gives KTP a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KTP have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
KTP Clean Sheet 68%
KaPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP KaPa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
2:1
Jun 5, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
May 9, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KaPa vs KTP
1:2
Sep 27, 2024 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs KaPa
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paavola M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

KaPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Heinonen O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 95 / 100
KaPa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP KaPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KTP scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

KaPa let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

KTP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS KaPa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

KaPa

(Away)
11 Sept
KaPa
1 : 4
PK-35
07 Sept
Klubi 04
2 : 2
KaPa
28 Aug
JaPS
0 : 0
KaPa
20 Aug
KaPa
1 : 3
Jippo
15 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
KaPa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 23 17 3 3 41:21 54
2 PK-35 23 14 6 3 41:15 48
3 Haka 23 12 5 6 43:26 41
4 Jippo 23 11 7 5 32:20 40
5 JaPS 23 10 2 11 21:34 32
6 Ekenas IF 23 8 4 11 28:35 28
7 Mikkelin 23 7 4 12 25:34 25
8 Klubi 04 23 4 8 11 28:34 20
9 KaPa 23 4 6 13 24:41 18
10 SJK Akatemia 23 2 7 14 14:37 13
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)