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KTP vs Mikkelin

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KTP play Mikkelin in the Ykkosliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, KTP averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Mikkelin averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, KTP won 4, Mikkelin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for KTP and 0.94 for Mikkelin. This points to a KTP double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
KTP
19%
Draws
30%
Mikkelin
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • KTP picked up more points recently compared to Mikkelin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
KTP Clean Sheet 24%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP Mikkelin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.61 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Mikkelin vs KTP
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KTP
0:5
Jun 2, 2024 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KTP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mikkelin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 51 / 100
Mikkelin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP Mikkelin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: KTP or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KTP attacking → ← attacking Mikkelin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Mikkelin let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

KTP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mikkelin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KTP1392221:1329
2PK-351383221:727
3Haka1363421:1421
4Jippo1356217:1021
5JaPS1361612:1919
6Mikkelin1351712:1516
7Ekenas IF1351720:2616
8KaPa1243514:1715
9Klubi 041215610:148
10SJK Akatemia131394:176