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KTP vs Mikkelin

Finland Finland

Ykkosliiga Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka
KTP Logo

KTP

1 - 1
FT
Mikkelin Logo

Mikkelin

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Paavola M.
11' Event
Laiho V.
43'
Afshari T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ykkosliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
KTP
30%
Draws
27%
Mikkelin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KTP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • KTP have won more games recently than Mikkelin.
  • Win probability leans KTP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ykkosliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
KTP Clean Sheet 20%
Mikkelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP Mikkelin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Ykkosliiga
Mikkelin vs KTP
3:3
Apr 10, 2026 Ykkosliiga
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Ykkosliigacup
KTP vs Mikkelin
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Mikkelin vs KTP
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTP Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsell P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mikkelin Compare

Top Goalscorer Laiho V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP 85 / 100
Mikkelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP Mikkelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KTP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KTP found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Mikkelin conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

KTP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

KTP VS Mikkelin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP

(Home)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
PK-35
0 : 3
KTP
11 Sept
KTP
3 : 0
JaPS
04 Sept
Jippo
0 : 2
KTP
28 Aug
KTP
2 : 1
Haka
Page 1 of 6

Mikkelin

(Away)
25 Sept
KTP
1 : 1
Mikkelin
19 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 0
Jippo
12 Sept
Mikkelin
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
06 Sept
Haka
0 : 2
Mikkelin
29 Aug
Mikkelin
0 : 3
PK-35
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTP 25 18 4 3 45:22 58
2 PK-35 25 14 7 4 41:18 49
3 Haka 25 13 5 7 47:29 44
4 Jippo 25 11 8 6 32:21 41
5 JaPS 25 11 2 12 23:36 35
6 Ekenas IF 25 8 5 12 29:37 29
7 Mikkelin 25 8 5 12 27:35 29
8 KaPa 25 6 6 13 30:45 24
9 Klubi 04 25 5 8 12 30:37 23
10 SJK Akatemia 25 2 8 15 17:41 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen 2027 (Main)