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KTP W vs Lahti W Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KTP W host Lahti W in the Kansallinen Ykkonen Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. KTP W have averaged 1.28 scored and 2.83 conceded recently, against Lahti W's 1.21 scored and 2.62 conceded. Past meetings favor KTP W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.56, favoring KTP W. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
KTP W
15%
Draws
85%
Lahti W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lahti W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KTP W come out ahead of Lahti W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lahti W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KTP W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
KTP W Clean Sheet 15%
Lahti W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTP W Lahti W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.28 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.83 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Jun 25, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
2:6
Apr 19, 2026 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
1:2
Jun 4, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
Lahti W vs KTP W
2:5
Apr 16, 2025 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
KTP W vs Lahti W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTP W 23 / 100
Lahti W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTP W Lahti W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lahti W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lahti W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

Lahti W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: KTP W scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

KTP W VS Lahti W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KTP W

(Home)
26 Sept
ONS Oulu W
5 : 0
KTP W
20 Sept
KTP W
1 : 4
Keski-Uusimaa W
13 Sept
HJK Akatemia W
1 : 0
KTP W
31 Aug
KTP W
2 : 3
TPS W
22 Aug
KTP W
0 : 5
ONS Oulu W
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Lahti W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lahti W
0 : 0
TPS W
20 Sept
ONS Oulu W
0 : 2
Lahti W
12 Sept
Keski-Uusimaa W
7 : 0
Lahti W
30 Aug
Lahti W
1 : 3
HJK Akatemia W
22 Aug
TPS W
4 : 2
Lahti W
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