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KTS Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Winiarski D.
73' Event
Firlej M.
77' Event
Luvale F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between KTS Weszlo and Jagiellonia II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KTS Weszlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
KTS Weszlo
20%
Draws
33%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KTS Weszlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia II come out ahead of KTS Weszlo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans KTS Weszlo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
KTS Weszlo Clean Sheet 16%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KTS Weszlo Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2.47 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
KTS Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II
4:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
KTS Weszlo vs Jagiellonia II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KTS Weszlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Winiarski D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Firlej M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Jagiellonia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KTS Weszlo 41 / 100
Jagiellonia II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KTS Weszlo Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KTS Weszlo scored in 94% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: KTS Weszlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

KTS Weszlo VS Jagiellonia II
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KTS Weszlo

(Home)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4

Jagiellonia II

(Away)
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1
Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3
LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 10 8 2 0 23:7 26
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Suwalki 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
4 Pelikan 10 6 1 3 16:12 19
5 Plock II 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
6 Swit Mazowiecki 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
10 Widzew Lodz II 9 4 1 4 20:17 13
11 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 10 4 1 5 20:21 13
12 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Olimpia Zambrow 10 3 2 5 20:26 11
14 Olimpia Elblag 10 3 1 6 14:20 10
15 MKS Mlawa 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
16 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
17 Lidzbark Warmimski 10 1 3 6 14:21 6
18 LKS Lomza 10 0 3 7 10:23 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)