Sport Picks
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
Albania
Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 Kukes Arena, Kukës 
Match Events
27'
27'
Matheus Alisson
32'
32'
Rrena H.
45'
45'
Abiodoun T.
AI Match Summary
Kukesi in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kukesi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besa Kavaje
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kukesi haven't matched Besa Kavaje's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Besa Kavaje's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 13%
Besa Kavaje Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kukesi | Besa Kavaje |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
1:4
May 3, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Besa Kavaje
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Besa Kavaje vs Kukesi
3:1
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Besa Kavaje vs Kukesi
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kukesi Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Alisson
1 Goals Assists Leader Abiodoun T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Besa Kavaje Compare
Top Goalscorer Rrena H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kukesi 10 / 100
Besa Kavaje 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kukesi Besa Kavaje
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Besa Kavaje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Kukesi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Besa Kavaje let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Solid form: Kukesi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kukesi VS Besa Kavaje
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Kukesi
(Home) 20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0 Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3 Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1 Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4 Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0 Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3 Pogradeci
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4 Besa Kavaje
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 3
Besa Kavaje
(Away) 20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1 Besa Kavaje
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0 KF Oriku
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4 Besa Kavaje
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3 Flamurtari
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4 Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1 Besa Kavaje
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4 Besa Kavaje
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4 Besa Kavaje
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1 Besa Kavaje
11 May
Pogradeci
1 : 0 Besa Kavaje
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laci | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 60:23 | 79 |
| 2 | Skenderbeu Korca | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 57:25 | 77 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 68 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 32:33 | 45 |
| 5 | Besa Kavaje | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 6 | Kastrioti | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 44:57 | 39 |
| 7 | Burreli | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 27:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 31:39 | 36 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 34 |
| 10 | Kukesi | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Apolonia Fier | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31:44 | 28 |
| 12 | Lushnja | 33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 26:47 | 26 |
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)
