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Kukesi vs Kastrioti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kukesi host Kastrioti in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Kastrioti have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Kukesi have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, Kukesi have won 1 to Kastrioti's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Kukesi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kukesi
15%
Draws
45%
Kastrioti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastrioti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kukesi come out ahead of Kastrioti on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kastrioti have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 11%
Kastrioti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kukesi Kastrioti
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Kukesi
0:2
Feb 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Kukesi
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Kastrioti
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Kukesi
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kastrioti vs Kukesi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kukesi 30 / 100
Kastrioti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kukesi Kastrioti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastrioti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kukesi scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Kastrioti conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Kukesi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kukesi VS Kastrioti
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kukesi

(Home)
16 Oct
Kukesi
2 : 0
Besa Kavaje
10 Oct
Bylis
1 : 0
Kukesi
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6

Kastrioti

(Away)
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
4 : 1
Kastrioti
11 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Oriku
07 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Luzi
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Besa Kavaje 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Bylis 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
4 Flamurtari 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
5 Kukesi 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Iliria Kruja 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Beselidhja Lezha 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
8 Kastrioti 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Korabi Peshkopi 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
10 Burreli 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
11 Sopoti Librazhd 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 KF Oriku 6 0 0 6 2:15 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)