Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Kukesi host Pogradeci in the Kategoria e Parë. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Pogradeci have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while Kukesi have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.16. Head-to-head, Kukesi have won 1 to Pogradeci's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 5:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Pogradeci. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Pogradeci lately — more wins on the board than Kukesi.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Pogradeci have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kukesi | Pogradeci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Kukesi found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Pogradeci has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Solid form: Kukesi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Kukesi
(Home)Pogradeci
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kukesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Korabi Peshkopi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Besa Kavaje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Flamurtari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Burreli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Bylis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Sopoti Librazhd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Iliria Kruja | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | Pogradeci | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | KF Oriku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 12 | Beselidhja Lezha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
