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Kulikiv vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Teplyakov D.
25'
Savoshko O.
57'
Sub
Pidruchnyi D. In: Isaenko Y.
Out: Pidruchnyi D.

AI Match Summary

Kulikiv in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kulikiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kulikiv
20%
Draws
36%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kulikiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kulikiv have won more games recently than Metalist Kharkiv.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Kulikiv taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kulikiv Clean Sheet 20%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kulikiv Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Kulikiv vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kulikiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Galadey D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kopyl S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Prykhodko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kulikiv 42 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kulikiv Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kulikiv scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Metalist Kharkiv has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kulikiv stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kulikiv VS Metalist Kharkiv
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kulikiv

(Home)
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
16 Sept
Kulikiv
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
12 Sept
Kulikiv
5 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Page 1 of 6

Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
15 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)