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Kulikiv vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Gavrushko I. In: Panasyuk O.
Out: Gavrushko I.
31'
Girnyi M.
41' Event
Patulyak V.

AI Match Summary

Probiy Horodenka in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Probiy Horodenka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kulikiv
15%
Draws
28%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kulikiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Probiy Horodenka haven't matched Kulikiv's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Kulikiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Probiy Horodenka have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kulikiv Clean Sheet 20%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kulikiv Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Persha Liga
Kulikiv vs Probiy Horodenka
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Kulikiv vs Probiy Horodenka
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 Druha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Kulikiv
2:0
Aug 12, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Probiy Horodenka vs Kulikiv
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kulikiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Patulyak V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Probiy Horodenka Compare

Top Goalscorer Girnyi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fesenko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kulikiv 85 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kulikiv Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kulikiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kulikiv scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Probiy Horodenka conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Probiy Horodenka has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kulikiv VS Probiy Horodenka
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kulikiv

(Home)
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Kulikiv
2 : 1
SC Poltava
20 Sept
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 0
Kulikiv
16 Sept
Kulikiv
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
12 Sept
Kulikiv
5 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
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Probiy Horodenka

(Away)
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 2
Oleksandriya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Oleksandriya 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
3 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
4 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 10 5 2 3 17:14 17
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
7 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
8 Fenix Mariupol 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
9 Inhulets 9 4 2 3 10:11 14
10 Lokomotyv Kyiv 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 10 2 4 4 14:17 10
14 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
15 FC Chernihiv 9 1 4 4 10:14 7
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)