Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kumamoto vs Gifu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto host Gifu in the J3 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kumamoto have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Gifu's 1.54 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Kumamoto have won 3 to Gifu's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2021, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.88) point toward Kumamoto. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kumamoto
15%
Draws
48%
Gifu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gifu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Gifu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 20%
Gifu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto Gifu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.96 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2021 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Gifu
2:0
May 2, 2021 J3 League
Gifu vs Kumamoto
0:1
Oct 4, 2020 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Gifu
2:3
Jul 19, 2020 J3 League
Gifu vs Kumamoto
1:0
Aug 19, 2018 J2 League
Gifu vs Kumamoto
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 31 / 100
Gifu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto Gifu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gifu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kumamoto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kumamoto found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS Gifu
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Kumamoto
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2
Ehime
02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0
Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6

Gifu

(Away)
17 Oct
Gifu
1 : 0
Fukushima United
11 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Gifu
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
29 Sept
Gifu
1 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 11 8 2 1 23:13 26
2 Ehime 11 7 2 2 26:14 23
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 11 7 2 2 16:7 23
4 Nara Club 11 7 2 2 22:16 23
5 SC Sagamihara 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
6 Gifu 11 6 1 4 21:10 19
7 FC Osaka 11 4 5 2 19:12 17
8 Kumamoto 11 4 5 2 10:6 17
9 Nagano Parceiro 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
10 Kanazawa 11 4 2 5 17:15 14
11 Reilac Shiga 11 4 2 5 16:18 14
12 Ryukyu 11 4 2 5 12:14 14
13 Gainare Tottori 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
14 Giravanz Kitakyushu 11 3 4 4 15:19 13
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 11 2 5 4 10:13 11
16 Tochigi SC 11 2 4 5 11:16 10
17 Thespakusatsu Gunma 11 3 1 7 11:20 10
18 Fukushima United 11 2 2 7 20:26 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 11 1 2 8 12:23 5
20 Kochi United 11 1 2 8 4:25 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)