Sport Picks
Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan
J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto 
Match Events
65'
65'
Sub
Sato R. In: Inoue A.
Out: Sato R.
67'
67'
Sub
Ishihara O. In: Bae Jeong-Min
Out: Ishihara O.
75'
75'
Shirai T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Matsumoto Yamaga lately — more wins on the board than Kumamoto.
- Model gives Kumamoto a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Matsumoto Yamaga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kumamoto | Matsumoto Yamaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 J2 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kumamoto
2:0
Jun 30, 2018 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:3
Jun 6, 2018 Emperors Cup
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kumamoto
2:1
Oct 7, 2017 J2 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kumamoto
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kumamoto 68 / 100
Matsumoto Yamaga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kumamoto Matsumoto Yamaga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matsumoto Yamaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Kumamoto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Kumamoto's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Kumamoto VS Matsumoto Yamaga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Kumamoto
(Home) 02 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 0 Kumamoto
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
06 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 2 Nara Club
02 Sept
Kumamoto
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 3
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Away) 03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3 SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
30 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Matsumoto Yamaga
08 Aug
Kochi United
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 6 | SC Sagamihara | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Nagano Parceiro | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 11 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 14 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:18 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
