Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Renofa Yamaguchi have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Kumamoto have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Kumamoto slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.00, favoring Kumamoto. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Kumamoto
15%
Draws
40%
Renofa Yamaguchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kumamoto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Kumamoto haven't matched Renofa Yamaguchi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kumamoto's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 20%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumamoto Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kumamoto
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 J2 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kumamoto
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 76 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumamoto Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kumamoto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Renofa Yamaguchi conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kumamoto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kumamoto VS Renofa Yamaguchi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumamoto

(Home)
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1
Kumamoto
25 Oct
Kumamoto
2 : 1
Gifu
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0
Gainare Tottori
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3
Kumamoto
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2
Ehime
Page 1 of 6

Renofa Yamaguchi

(Away)
31 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
25 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
21 Oct
Ehime
2 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
18 Oct
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Kochi United
11 Oct
Tochigi SC
0 : 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 14 9 3 2 28:17 30
2 Ehime 14 8 2 4 30:21 26
3 Renofa Yamaguchi 14 8 2 4 19:11 26
4 Nara Club 14 8 2 4 25:21 26
5 Gifu 14 8 1 5 25:13 25
6 SC Sagamihara 14 7 4 3 24:15 25
7 Kumamoto 14 6 6 2 16:8 24
8 FC Osaka 14 6 5 3 23:14 23
9 Ryukyu 14 7 2 5 21:17 23
10 Kanazawa 14 6 2 6 27:19 20
11 Nagano Parceiro 14 6 2 6 20:20 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 14 5 4 5 21:22 19
13 Matsumoto Yamaga 14 4 5 5 15:16 17
14 Tochigi SC 14 4 5 5 14:16 17
15 Gainare Tottori 14 4 3 7 15:28 15
16 Fukushima United 14 4 2 8 27:32 14
17 Reilac Shiga 14 4 2 8 18:27 14
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 14 4 1 9 12:26 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 14 2 2 10 15:27 8
20 Kochi United 14 1 3 10 6:31 6
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)