Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kumamoto play Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the J2/J3 League. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are favorites here. Recently, Kumamoto averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Tegevajaro Miyazaki averaged 1.93 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Kumamoto won 0, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Kumamoto and 1.13 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki. This points to a Tegevajaro Miyazaki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Kumamoto

15%

Draws

58%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Kumamoto picked up more points recently compared to Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Kumamoto Clean Sheet 21%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kumamoto	Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	22
Draws	4	1
Losses	15	6
Goals Scored	0.93	1.93
Goals Conceded	1.23	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:5

Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kumamoto

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Nov 28, 2021 J3 League

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kumamoto

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Apr 4, 2021 J3 League

Kumamoto vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumamoto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Toshida Y.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Matsumoto K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumamoto 29 / 100

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kumamoto Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (2)

Secondary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kumamoto attacking → ← attacking Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kumamoto scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kumamoto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 67

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15