Sport Picks
Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Fujii K. In: Katori Y.
Out: Fujii K.
34'
34'
Omoto Y.
65'
65'
Omoto Y.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Kumamoto and Tochigi SC finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kumamoto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Kumamoto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Kumamoto are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kumamoto Clean Sheet 68%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kumamoto | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J3 League
Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC
0:2
Jun 2, 2024 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Kumamoto
1:3
Sep 24, 2023 J2 League
Kumamoto vs Tochigi SC
3:0
Feb 19, 2023 J2 League
Tochigi SC vs Kumamoto
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kumamoto 68 / 100
Tochigi SC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kumamoto Tochigi SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumamoto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kumamoto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Tochigi SC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Kumamoto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Kumamoto VS Tochigi SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kumamoto
(Home) 04 Nov
FC Osaka
2 : 1 Kumamoto
31 Oct
Kagoshima United
1 : 1 Kumamoto
25 Oct
Kumamoto
2 : 1 Gifu
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0 Gainare Tottori
18 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 3 Kumamoto
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Kumamoto
2 : 1 Gifu
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0 Gainare Tottori
11 Oct
Kumamoto
0 : 2 Ehime
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Kawasaki Frontale
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi SC
(Away) 03 Nov
Tochigi SC
0 : 0 Fukushima United
31 Oct
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Ehime
24 Oct
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
21 Oct
Tochigi SC
1 : 0 Reilac Shiga
17 Oct
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
17 Oct
Ryukyu
1 : 0 Tochigi SC
04 Oct
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:18 | 31 |
| 2 | Nara Club | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28:21 | 29 |
| 3 | Gifu | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 28:15 | 28 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Ehime | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 30:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:20 | 23 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:20 | 23 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | 19 |
| 13 | Tochigi SC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 14 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Reilac Shiga | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | 17 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 27:32 | 15 |
| 17 | Gainare Tottori | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | 15 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 11 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10:31 | 9 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
