Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kumla vs Grebbestad

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Damstrom R.
76' Event
Andersson Segerlind J.

AI Match Summary

Kumla in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kumla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kumla
30%
Draws
39%
Grebbestad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grebbestad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Grebbestad have won more games recently than Kumla.
  • Grebbestad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%
Grebbestad Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumla Grebbestad
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Grebbestad
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Grebbestad
3:2
May 10, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Grebbestad vs Kumla
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kumla Compare

Top Goalscorer Damstrom R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson Segerlind J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Grebbestad Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumla 10 / 100
Grebbestad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumla Grebbestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grebbestad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grebbestad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kumla scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Kumla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumla VS Grebbestad
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumla

(Home)
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 6

Grebbestad

(Away)
30 Aug
Husqvarna
3 : 2
Grebbestad
22 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
Stenungsunds IF
14 Aug
Ahlafors
3 : 1
Grebbestad
08 Aug
Grebbestad
1 : 1
IFK Skovde
31 Jul
Karlstad II
1 : 2
Grebbestad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 20 17 3 0 50:15 54
2 Skara 19 12 5 2 37:21 41
3 IFK Skovde 20 11 5 4 37:24 38
4 Ahlafors 20 9 7 4 45:24 34
5 Herrestads AIF 20 8 7 5 38:34 31
6 Grebbestad 19 9 3 7 34:29 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 20 7 6 7 35:28 27
8 Vanersborgs FK 20 7 4 9 27:34 25
9 Motala 20 5 7 8 28:29 22
10 Kumla 20 5 6 9 20:37 21
11 Tord 20 2 9 9 23:35 15
12 Lidkoping 19 3 6 10 20:38 15
13 Karlstad II 20 2 7 11 22:37 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 19 2 3 14 20:51 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)