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AI Match Summary
Kumla play Vanersborgs FK in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kumla averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Vanersborgs FK averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Kumla won 2, Vanersborgs FK won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Kumla and 1.44 for Vanersborgs FK. This points to a Kumla double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vanersborgs FK demonstrates higher offensive output (1.38 avg goals) than Kumla (0.75 avg goals).
- Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Kumla.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kumla | Vanersborgs FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kumla scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Vanersborgs FK let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Kumla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Vanersborgs FK lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 36:10 | 39 |
| 2 | Skara | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:17 | 33 |
| 3 | IFK Skovde | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 4 | Grebbestad | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Ahlafors | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 31:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Stenungsunds IF | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24:22 | 18 |
| 7 | Motala | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Kumla | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Herrestads AIF | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Vanersborgs FK | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Lidkoping | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:33 | 12 |
| 12 | Karlstad II | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 13 | Tord | 14 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 15:26 | 8 |
| 14 | Vanersborgs IF | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:40 | 8 |