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Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kumla
20%
Draws
51%
Vanersborgs FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanersborgs FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Vanersborgs FK average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Kumla's 1.11.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%
Vanersborgs FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kumla Vanersborgs FK
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
1:2
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs FK vs Kumla
0:4
Jun 15, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs FK
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kumla 29 / 100
Vanersborgs FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kumla Vanersborgs FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kumla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kumla scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Vanersborgs FK has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kumla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kumla VS Vanersborgs FK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kumla

(Home)
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0
Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1
Kumla
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
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Vanersborgs FK

(Away)
26 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 3
Husqvarna
19 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 2
Tord
11 Sept
Stenungsunds IF
0 : 1
Vanersborgs FK
04 Sept
Vanersborgs FK
1 : 0
Ahlafors
29 Aug
Karlstad II
1 : 3
Vanersborgs FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 23 19 3 1 54:18 60
2 Skara 23 15 5 3 48:25 50
3 IFK Skovde 23 13 5 5 39:25 44
4 Ahlafors 23 11 7 5 49:26 40
5 Grebbestad 23 12 3 8 42:33 39
6 Herrestads AIF 23 9 7 7 41:41 34
7 Stenungsunds IF 23 9 6 8 42:30 33
8 Vanersborgs FK 23 8 4 11 30:39 28
9 Motala 23 6 8 9 33:32 26
10 Kumla 23 6 7 10 22:39 25
11 Lidkoping 23 6 6 11 28:42 24
12 Tord 23 3 9 11 26:42 18
13 Karlstad II 23 2 7 14 23:44 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 23 2 3 18 24:65 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)