Sport Picks
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Division 2 - Norra Götaland 
Match Events
41'
41'
Gorgol A.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Damstrom R.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Gashi V.
AI Match Summary
Kumla in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kumla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kumla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Kumla have won more games recently than Vanersborgs IF.
- Win probability leans Kumla's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Kumla Clean Sheet 13%
Vanersborgs IF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kumla | Vanersborgs IF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Vanersborgs IF vs Kumla
1:1
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs Vanersborgs IF
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kumla Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Vanersborgs IF Compare
Top Goalscorer Gashi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kumla 84 / 100
Vanersborgs IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kumla Vanersborgs IF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kumla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vanersborgs IF let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Vanersborgs IF lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Kumla's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Kumla VS Vanersborgs IF
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kumla
(Home) 17 Oct
Kumla
3 : 1 Karlstad II
08 Oct
Vanersborgs FK
3 : 3 Kumla
03 Oct
Skara
3 : 1 Kumla
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0 Lidkoping
18 Sept
Herrestads AIF
2 : 1 Kumla
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Kumla
3 : 1 Karlstad II
26 Sept
Kumla
1 : 0 Lidkoping
11 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0 Motala
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0 IFK Skovde
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6 Husqvarna
Page 1 of 3
Vanersborgs IF
(Away) 17 Oct
Vanersborgs IF
0 : 1 IFK Skovde
11 Oct
Karlstad II
4 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
25 Sept
Vanersborgs IF
1 : 2 Ahlafors
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2 Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Karlstad II
4 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
03 Oct
Husqvarna
4 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
20 Sept
Lidkoping
5 : 2 Vanersborgs IF
06 Sept
Skara
5 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
21 Aug
Herrestads AIF
3 : 0 Vanersborgs IF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 59:20 | 66 |
| 2 | Skara | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 58:28 | 59 |
| 3 | IFK Skovde | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 43:26 | 50 |
| 4 | Ahlafors | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 62:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 46:40 | 40 |
| 6 | Stenungsunds IF | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 47:34 | 39 |
| 7 | Herrestads AIF | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46:49 | 37 |
| 8 | Lidkoping | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:43 | 33 |
| 9 | Vanersborgs FK | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 36:45 | 32 |
| 10 | Kumla | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:46 | 29 |
| 11 | Motala | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | 26 |
| 12 | Tord | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30:47 | 22 |
| 13 | Karlstad II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 29:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Vanersborgs IF | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 24:74 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)
