Sport Picks

China

League Two 2025 Yunnan Kehua Football Training Base Stadium

Chengdu Rongcheng B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kunming City Star play Chengdu Rongcheng B in the League Two 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kunming City Star averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Chengdu Rongcheng B averaged 1.28 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Kunming City Star won 0, Chengdu Rongcheng B won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 1, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Kunming City Star and 1.69 for Chengdu Rongcheng B. This points to a Chengdu Rongcheng B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Kunming City Star

31%

Draws

46%

Chengdu Rongcheng B

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Chengdu Rongcheng B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Kunming City Star picked up more points recently compared to Chengdu Rongcheng B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Kunming City Star Clean Sheet 13%

Chengdu Rongcheng B Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kunming City Star	Chengdu Rongcheng B
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	12
Draws	9	10
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	0.8	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.37	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2025 League Two

Kunming City Star vs Chengdu Rongcheng B

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Apr 27, 2025 League Two

Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Kunming City Star

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kunming City Star Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Chengdu Rongcheng B Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Moyu

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kunming City Star 23 / 100

Chengdu Rongcheng B 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kunming City Star Chengdu Rongcheng B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chengdu Rongcheng B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kunming City Star attacking → ← attacking Chengdu Rongcheng B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kunming City Star scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng B let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Kunming City Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng B lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 46

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wuxi Wugou	22	13	6	3	31:14	45
2	Shandong Taishan B	22	10	9	3	36:22	39
3	Nantong Haimen	22	10	8	4	38:24	38
4	Changchun Xidu	22	10	8	4	19:11	38
5	Jiangxi Lushan	22	10	5	7	25:22	35
6	Hangzhou Linping	22	8	8	6	24:26	32
7	Taian Tiankuang	22	7	5	10	22:25	26
8	Shanghai Port B	22	6	7	9	25:26	25
9	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	22	5	8	9	17:32	23
10	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	22	5	7	10	21:32	22
11	Beijing Technology	22	5	2	15	21:29	17
12	Hubei Istar	22	3	7	12	23:39	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guangxi Hengchen	22	18	3	1	47:9	57
2	Shenzhen 2028	22	14	6	2	30:13	48
3	Chengdu Rongcheng B	22	12	4	6	39:20	40
4	Guizhou Guiyang	22	12	3	7	33:25	39
5	Guangzhou Dandelion	22	11	5	6	31:18	38
6	Wuhan Three Towns B	22	8	5	9	21:20	29
7	Wenzhou Professional	22	6	8	8	21:27	26
8	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	4	11	7	18:28	23
9	Guangdong Mingtu	22	4	8	10	20:32	20
10	Kunming City Star	22	4	7	11	15:31	19
11	Quanzhou Yassin	22	3	6	13	13:30	15
12	Guangxi Lanhang	22	0	6	16	10:45	6