Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2019

Nevezis Kedainiai

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kupiskis play Nevezis Kedainiai in the I Lyga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kupiskis averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Nevezis Kedainiai averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Kupiskis won 1, Nevezis Kedainiai won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 2, 2019 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Kupiskis and 0.93 for Nevezis Kedainiai. This points to a Kupiskis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Kupiskis

15%

Draws

38%

Nevezis Kedainiai

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kupiskis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Kupiskis picked up more points recently compared to Nevezis Kedainiai.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Kupiskis Clean Sheet 24%

Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kupiskis	Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	10	9
Draws	6	4
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	2	1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2019 I Lyga

Kupiskis vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Apr 5, 2019 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Kupiskis

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

5:1

Aug 4, 2018 I Lyga

Kupiskis vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

4:0

Mar 31, 2018 I Lyga

Nevezis Kedainiai vs Kupiskis

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kupiskis Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipnevicius R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toklikishvili N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kupiskis 47 / 100

Nevezis Kedainiai 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kupiskis Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kupiskis or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kupiskis attacking → ← attacking Nevezis Kedainiai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kupiskis scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Kupiskis went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 31

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dziugas Telsiai	28	19	4	5	58:23	61
2	Banga	28	17	5	6	57:24	56
3	Vilniaus Vytis	28	17	4	7	74:31	55
4	Dainava Alytus	28	17	2	9	64:32	53
5	Nevezis Kedainiai	28	16	4	8	66:37	52
6	FA Siauliai	28	14	5	9	61:37	47
7	FC Hegelmann	28	12	8	8	57:42	44
8	FK Minija	28	12	5	11	54:49	41
9	Jonava	28	12	4	12	55:46	40
10	Kupiskis	28	10	6	12	49:56	36
11	BFA Vilnius	28	10	3	15	56:53	33
12	Riteriai 2	28	9	5	14	61:49	32
13	Zalgiris 2	28	6	4	18	43:83	22
14	FK Atmosfera	28	3	4	21	23:96	13
15	FC Pakruojis	28	3	3	22	25:145	12
16	FC Stumbras 2	0	0	0	0	0:0	0