Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkonen Vare Areena

KuPS Akatemia

1 - 2

Jazz Pori

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Lemio J.

44'

Lakkamaki J.

57'

Tikkanen R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between KuPS Akatemia and Jazz Pori finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jazz Pori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

KuPS Akatemia

44%

Draws

20%

Jazz Pori

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and KuPS Akatemia come out ahead of Jazz Pori on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 10%

Jazz Pori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KuPS Akatemia	Jazz Pori
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	8
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ykkonen

KuPS Akatemia vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jul 16, 2025 Ykkonen

Jazz Pori vs KuPS Akatemia

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Apr 20, 2025 Ykkonen

KuPS Akatemia vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jun 29, 2024 Ykkonen

KuPS Akatemia vs Jazz Pori

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Apr 27, 2024 Ykkonen

Jazz Pori vs KuPS Akatemia

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Jazz Pori Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakkamaki J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS Akatemia 34 / 100

Jazz Pori 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KuPS Akatemia Jazz Pori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jazz Pori let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

KuPS Akatemia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Jazz Pori registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS Akatemia VS Jazz Pori

2.13 Goals Scored 1

2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 50%

75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	15	11	1	3	29:9	34
2	RoPS Rovaniemi	14	8	4	2	30:15	28
3	SalPa	15	7	5	3	31:25	26
4	JJK Jyvaskyla	16	7	4	5	40:29	25
5	OLS Oulu	16	6	5	5	30:23	23
6	Keski-Uusimaa	14	6	4	4	27:19	22
7	VJS	14	5	5	4	25:19	20
8	Jazz Pori	15	6	2	7	18:23	17
9	TPV	15	4	4	7	19:25	16
10	FC Inter Turku 2	15	4	3	8	26:41	15
11	KuPS Akatemia	15	2	3	10	25:37	9
12	KPV Kokkola	14	2	2	10	12:47	8