Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valipakka V.
43' Event
Huttunen D.
46'
Sub
Arope A. In: Moilanen J.
Out: Arope A.

AI Match Summary

KuPS Akatemia in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS Akatemia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
KuPS Akatemia
20%
Draws
38%
KPV Kokkola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KuPS Akatemia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • KuPS Akatemia average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of KPV Kokkola's 1.25.
  • KuPS Akatemia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 11%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Akatemia KPV Kokkola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola
4:1
Oct 19, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Akatemia
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola
1:0
May 3, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Akatemia
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Huttunen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hautakangas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Valipakka V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS Akatemia 40 / 100
KPV Kokkola 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Akatemia KPV Kokkola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KPV Kokkola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

KuPS Akatemia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: KPV Kokkola registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KuPS Akatemia VS KPV Kokkola
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS Akatemia

(Home)
18 Jul
TPV
3 : 1
KuPS Akatemia
11 Jul
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
04 Jul
KuPS Akatemia
2 : 3
Tampere Utd
28 Jun
OLS Oulu
2 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
12 Jun
SalPa
4 : 3
KuPS Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

KPV Kokkola

(Away)
20 Jul
KPV Kokkola
1 : 1
RoPS Rovaniemi
11 Jul
KPV Kokkola
1 : 3
TPV
02 Jul
Jazz Pori
0 : 1
KPV Kokkola
28 Jun
KPV Kokkola
1 : 3
Keski-Uusimaa
13 Jun
KPV Kokkola
2 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere Utd15111329:934
2RoPS Rovaniemi1585231:1629
3SalPa1575331:2526
4JJK Jyvaskyla1674540:2925
5OLS Oulu1665530:2323
6Keski-Uusimaa1464427:1922
7VJS1455425:1920
8Jazz Pori1562718:2317
9TPV1544719:2516
10FC Inter Turku 21543826:4115
11KuPS Akatemia15231025:379
12KPV Kokkola15231013:489
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)