Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Vare Areena, Kuopio
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Valipakka V.
43' Event
Huttunen D.
46'
Sub
Arope A. In: Moilanen J.
Out: Arope A.

AI Match Summary

KuPS Akatemia in this Ykkonen matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored KuPS Akatemia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
KuPS Akatemia
15%
Draws
36%
KPV Kokkola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KuPS Akatemia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • KPV Kokkola have won more games recently than KuPS Akatemia.
  • KuPS Akatemia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Ykkonen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and KuPS Akatemia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
KuPS Akatemia Clean Sheet 11%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KuPS Akatemia KPV Kokkola
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.71 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Akatemia
3:2
Aug 21, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Akatemia
2:4
Jun 5, 2026 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola
4:1
Oct 19, 2025 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs KuPS Akatemia
1:3
Jul 20, 2025 Ykkonen
KuPS Akatemia vs KPV Kokkola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KuPS Akatemia Compare

Top Goalscorer Huttunen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hautakangas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Valipakka V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KuPS Akatemia 56 / 100
KPV Kokkola 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KuPS Akatemia KPV Kokkola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KuPS Akatemia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KPV Kokkola conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: KuPS Akatemia scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

KPV Kokkola's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

KuPS Akatemia VS KPV Kokkola
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KuPS Akatemia

(Home)
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
13 Sept
TPV
4 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
16 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
2 : 2
Keski-Uusimaa
Page 1 of 7

KPV Kokkola

(Away)
26 Sept
VJS
2 : 0
KPV Kokkola
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)